Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in deadlock over America’s swing states, with polls showing hairs-breadth gaps between the bitter rivals weeks before the presidential election.
A series of CNN/ORC polls on Monday revealed that Clinton takes the lead in North Carolina and Nevada, while Trump pushes ahead in Ohio.
The surveys were published a day after CBS News found that a major swing in the female vote had supercharged Clinton’s share in battleground states, after a string of women made sexual assault allegations against the GOP candidate.
North Carolina, which voted red in 2012, currently has Clinton on 48 points and Trump on 47, the CNN/ORC poll of likely voters revealed. Nevada, which Obama took last time round, also has Clinton in the lead at 46 points to Trump’s 44.
Scroll down for video
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are warring over several key battleground states. Clinton takes the lead in North Carolina and Nevada, while Trump pushes ahead in Ohio
But Trump has the advantage in Ohio, which previously voted Democrat. He has a 48 per cent share to Clinton’s 44.
The polls, which have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points, were conducted Oct. 10-15 – a week in which nine women told the media that Trump touched them inappropriately.
According to 270ToWin, which tracks the electoral vote count based on polling, Clinton would currently get 268 electoral college votes. Trump would get 167.
Either candidate needs to capture 270 votes – or the majority of the 538 available.
Experts say that Florida is the state to win, since Clinton would be virtually guaranteed victory if she claims it. The Democrat is currently 3.5 points ahead of her Republican rival in the sunshine state, according to the RealClearPolitics poll average.
And a Gravis poll Sunday put Clinton four points ahead in Florida – which voted Democrat in 2012 – at 46 to Trump’s 42.
Clinton also came out top in Colorado at 44 to the Republican’s 39, Gravis found.
According to Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight blog, more states are in play than when Obama went up against Mitt Romney four years ago.
The map has begun to shift even in deep red states such as Texas and Utah: A shock Y2 Analytics poll last Wednesday showed Clinton neck-and-neck with Trump at 26 points each.
A Heat Street/Rasmussen Utah survey on Monday put her two points behind Trump, at 28 to his 30. Mormon Evan McMullin, who is basing his national campaign in Utah, got 29 per cent.
FiveThirtyEight predicts that those two states could become swing regions by 2024 or 2028, but believes Clinton will lose them this time round.
Still, the change in the women’s vote is taking its toll on the Trump campaign, the CBS News Battleground Tracker of 13 states showed.
Last month Clinton led women by five points in those states; now she leads by 15. As a result she gets 46 per cent of all voters in those regions, compared to Trump who gets 40.
Trump’s share has also been eroded among Republican women, down seven points to 77, against 84 per cent in September before a wave of sexual assault claims hit the GOP candidate’s campaign.